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People all over the world got to share a sense of wonder and awe, just by looking to the sky at the phenomenon known as the supermoon. Scott Pelley reports.
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國際貨幣基金最新的預估顯示,以購買力平價計算,中國今年的 GDP 將達 17.6 兆美元,而美國只有 17.4 兆美元。但分析師普遍不以購買力平價來評估經濟規模,且經人口調整後,中國的經濟規模仍遠遠落後美國。
IMF 的資料是以購買力平價所做的預估,也就是以調整生活成本後的匯率來做的評估。由於麥當勞的大麥克在全球相當普及,且品質相對一致,《經濟學人》雜誌曾以大麥克漢堡創立「大麥克指數」,來衡量全球各國的購買力。但是《International Business Times》卻指出,購買力平價並有效的比較不同國家的經濟,因為諸如飛機或國際貨運費用,都不能根據生活成本進行調整。若要衡量一國的經濟體質,名目 GDP 仍是較廣泛採用的資料。
「購買力平價」用來區別各國的物價情形,但是卻無法反映兩國實際上的情形。包括《彭博》、《衛報》都報導,以世界銀行的資料,美國未經通膨調整的 2013 年 GDP 為 16.8 兆美元,遠高於中國的 9.24 兆美元。
JPMorgan Chase & Co. 的全球經濟分析師 David Hensley 指出,以更為普遍、較廣為接受的衡量標準來看,美國仍是全球最大經濟體。購買力平價會誇大開發中國家的重要性,因為購買力平價忽略了每個國家對世界資源的掌控及對全球活動的影響力。以購買力平價來計算,看不出來全球正在進行的財富反轉。
此外,《Quartz》引述北京大學金融教授 Michael Pettis 的話報導,中國和美國計算 GDP 的方式不同,而且中國認列貸款違約的標準不同,因此認列的數目和價值也遠低於美國,所以衡量中國的 GDP,也無法精確與美國比較。
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